UFC 265 predictions – Derrick Lewis vs. Ciryl Gane: fight card, odds, expert picks, prelims

Saturday’s UFC 265 main event features a technical versus power battle as Ciryl Gane and Derrick Lewis face off for the interim heavyweight championship. The action takes place à la carte from the Toyota Center in Houston.

Gane quickly tore the heavyweight division apart, going 6-0 in the Octagon since making his UFC debut in August 2019. The former kickboxer is now looking to win interim gold and grab an opportunity face heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou in the champion’s next fight. .

Lewis is a big fan favorite who made his debut for the promotion in April 2014. All-time UFC leader in heavyweight knockouts, Lewis gets his second chance at a championship after losing a fight in November 2018 against the then champion Daniel Cormier. Lewis is one of two men to beat Ngannou in the UFC.

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The main co-event includes an all-Brazilian showdown in the bantamweight division when former featherweight champion Jose Aldo takes on Pedro Munhoz. Aldo claimed his first victory in the lightweight class in his last appearance edging out Marlon Moraes after an unsuccessful attempt to win the vacant title. Munhoz ended a two-fight losing skid in February by securing the ruling on Jimmie Rivera.

With so much going on on Saturday night, let’s take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before moving on to our staff’s predictions and choices for the PPV portion of the festivities.

UFC 265 fight card, odds

  • Ciryl Gane -370 v Derrick Lewis +290, interim heavyweight championship
  • Jose Aldo -115 v Pedro Munhoz -105, bantamweight
  • Vicente Luque -115 vs. Michael Chiesa -105, welterweight
  • Tecia Torres -140 vs. Angela Hill +120, female strawweight
  • Casey Kenney -120 vs. Song Yadong +100, bantamweight
  • Rafael Fiziev -280 vs. Bobby Green +230, lightweight
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz -135 vs. Jessica Penne +115, flyweight women
  • Alonzo Menifield -240 vs. Ed Herman +200, light heavyweight
  • Manel Kape -195 against Ode Osbourne +165, flyweight
  • Melissa Gatto -110 vs. Victoria Leonardo -110, Women’s Flyweight
  • Miles Johns -210 v Anderson Dos Santos +175, bantamweight
  • Drako Rodriguez -120 vs. Vince Morales +100, bantamweight
  • Johnny Munoz Jr. -300 vs. Jamey Simmons +240, bantamweight

With such a massive main event, the CBS Sports team went ahead with predictions and picks for the main card. Here are your coaches: Brent Brookhouse (Combat Sports Writer), Brian Campbell (Combat Sports Writer, “Morning Kombat” co-host), Matthew Coca (Producer), Jack Crosby (Editor), Michael Mormile (Producer) and Brandon Wise (editor-in-chief).

UFC 264 pick, predictions

Lewis vs. Gane Gane Gane Gane Lewis Gane
Aldo vs. Munhoz Aldo Aldo Munhoz Aldo Aldo
Luque vs. Chiesa Chiesa Luque Chiesa Chiesa Luque
Torres vs. Hill hill hill Torres Torres hill
Yadong vs. Kenney Yadong Kenney Kenney Yadong Yadong
Records to date (2021) 27-12 25-14 27-12 27-12 23-15

Campbell explains why Gane will win: At 6-foot-5, with unusual agility and foot speed for the division, Gane appears to be a problem for just about any heavyweight. Lewis, and his great luck as a puncher, is no exception. On paper, it’s a fight Gane should win given his established five-shot engine and ability to dodge heavy backfire. But the prospect of fighting in your opponent’s backyard on such a big stage might be enough to level the playing field a bit. Expect Gane to be a lot more technical and patient than he was in pressing the gas to overwhelm Alexander Volkov given the added level of danger. For this reason, this one should go the distance with Gane’s activity level turning out to be the difference.

Brookhouse explains why Gane will win: Gane’s offensive technical skills grab the headlines, it is his ability to avoid taking sharp hits that sets him apart as an elite developing heavyweight. Although it is almost impossible to avoid taking all Punches and a single punch from Lewis can put anyone to sleep, Gane is somewhat of a nightmarish opponent for Lewis thanks to his defensive skills and footwork. Gane will also be keenly aware of Lewis’ power and will have a game plan that minimizes dangerous trades. This can make for a less thrilling fight at times, but it’s a fight Gane should be able to win by building up a big lead on the scoreboards over five rounds.

Campbell explains why Aldo will win: Let’s face it, this one is action-packed between two Brazilian hitters born two days apart about 34 years ago. The difference, as well as the huge gap in the Championship experience, could come down to Aldo’s sneaky long-range advantage. Aldo’s 135-pound version is much more efficient than the former heavy-kicking featherweight champion. He advances all the same, but is more selective in his search for the big one. Munhoz is very dangerous but vulnerable enough for Aldo to finish him off when things get hairy.

Brookhouse explains why Luque will win: Chiesa is a solid wrestler and looks great beating Neil Magny on his last outing. Luque is a different animal, however. Luque’s aggression extends to all areas of the game. On his feet, he leans on a ridiculously good chin and frontal style that allows him to absorb strikes at a faster rate than he lands. , but he holds a 13-3 UFC record. This aggression doesn’t stop on the ground and if Chiesa succeeds with takedowns Luque will always put him on the defensive. Aggression should be enough for Luque to score a big win and stay on the sidelines of the title fight.

Who wins Lewis against Gane? And which fighter offers an upheaval? Visit SportsLine now for the top picks detailed on UFC 265, all from the ultimate insider who earned nearly $ 9,500 on MMA picks over the past year, and find out.