UFC 270 predictions – Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane: Fight card, odds, preview, expert picks, prelims

The first PPV event of 2022 is upon us as the UFC returns to California with a pair of titles up for grabs. UFC 270 descends from the Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif., on Saturday night and features title fights in the promotion’s heaviest and lightest divisions. Heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou looks to fend off interim titleholder Ciryl Gane in the main event atop the marquee.

Ngannou and his war of words with UFC President Dana White got all the attention in the build-up to this fight. The Cameron native is hoping to receive a pay raise after battling his contract on Saturday night, but the UFC apparently won’t budge.

Moreover, the underlying theme of this massive clash is that Gane is coached by Ngannou’s former coach in Fernand Lopez, and the two trained and fought together for a brief period. The two have differing opinions on how these sessions will go, but that won’t matter once the cage door closes on Saturday night in California.

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With so much going on Saturday night, let’s take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before we get to our staff’s predictions and picks for the PPV portion of the festivities.

UFC 270 fight card, odds

  • Ciryl Gane -155 vs. Francis Ngannou (c) +130, heavyweight championship
  • Brandon Moreno -175 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo +150, Flyweight Championship
  • Michel Pereira -280 vs Andre Fialho +230, welterweight
  • Said Nurmagomedov -190 vs. Cody Stamann +160, bantamweight
  • Raoni Barcelos -500 vs. Victory Henry +380, bantamweight
  • Tony Gravely -240 vs. Saimon Oliveira +200, bantamweight
  • Michael Morales -115 vs. Trevin Giles -105, welterweight
  • Jack Della -360 vs. Pete Rodriguez +280, welterweight
  • Matt Frevola -195 vs. Genaro Valdez +165, lightweight
  • Kay Hansen -195 vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius +165, women’s flyweight
  • Vanessa Demopoulos -140 vs. Silvana Gomez Juarez +120, women’s strawweight

With such a massive main event, the CBS Sports team went ahead with predictions and picks for the main card. Here are your selectors: Brent Brookhouse (combat sports writer), Brian Campbell (combat sports writer, “Morning Kombat” co-host), Shakiel Mahjouri (writer), Michael Mormile (producer) and Brandon Wise (content writer). chief).

UFC 270 Picks, Predictions

Ngannou (c) against Gane (ic) Ngannou Gane Gane Ngannou Ngannou
Moreno (c) against Figueiredo Moreno Moreno Moreno Moreno Figueiredo
Pereira vs Fialho Pereira Pereira Pereira Pereira Pereira
Nurmagomedov vs. Stamann Stamann Nurmagomedov Stamann Nurmagomedov Nurmagomedov
Morales vs. Giles Gilles Gilles Gilles Gilles Gilles
Records to date (2022) 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Campbell explains why Ngannou will win: The reality for Saturday’s heavyweight title unification is that undefeated Gane might just be everything we think he is (and more) and it might not matter if Ngannou clinches wouldn’t be. only one clean finishing keystroke. But add to the fact that Ngannou apparently used the lengthy layoffs caused by his frustration with UFC matchmaking to fill the biggest holes in his game and it’s possible this fight may even be one-sided for ‘The Predator. “. That’s a big if, of course, given Gane’s unique skill to potentially disarm his enemy. It’s just hard to shake the memories of how Ngannou effortlessly secured the title from Stipe Miocic in their rematch while adding elements of takedown defense, heading position with heavy hitting and even game play. kicks evolved. Ngannou is a scary level the division has never seen before and he will have enough motivation given the former teammate’s history and his ongoing contract disputes with the UFC brass to deliver his statement the latest. deeper so far.

Brookhouse explains why Gane will win: I hate picking this fight as much as I love having this fight happen. The question really comes down to whether Ngannou can land a single one of his endgame bombs, something he apparently always manages to pull off. That’s the danger of always picking against Ngannou: you pick against him by getting a clean shot. Gane is an experienced striker, however, with an elusive style that has confused opponent after opponent. It’s Gane’s discipline that probably makes the difference. He’s in no danger of falling unwisely on a shot and if he can prevent Ngannou from determining the timing of his ins and outs, it will be a long and tiring night for the champion. Gane outlasted two more “one-hit killers” in Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Derrick Lewis, dominating the two with ease. It will be a tour de force, but expect Gane to slowly separate and wear Ngannou down before completely dominating the action from round three onwards.

Mahjouri explains why Gane will win: Bettors nailed him in the opener of this fight as a pick’em. Ngannou complemented his monstrous power with a thoughtful man’s game plan. Gane has heavyweight strength and serious accuracy to match his brilliant combat IQ. The argument can be made that Gane and Ngannou are currently the best heavyweights alive. The impulse leans ever so slightly towards Gane. He reminds fans of heavyweight Georges St-Pierre; from superficial elements like his French accent, shaved head and nice-boy attitude, to his plumpness and sublime technical ability. Choose Gane, but do so hesitantly.

Campbell explains why Moreno will win: Timing is everything in the sport and given how easily Moreno stopped Figueiredo in their rematch last year, there’s reason to believe he can do the same in their trilogy. Not only is Moreno, Mexico’s first UFC champion, the hottest and freshest fighter right now in the match, but Figueiredo, 34, has long had a tough weight cut to 125 pounds that isn’t becoming easier. Expect, as always, Figueiredo to be a threat to score a stoppage for the duration of round one. But the longer this fight lasts, the more potential there is for iron-chinned Moreno to outlast his veteran opponent and deliver the finish. Figueiredo’s new relationship with Henry Cejudo and head trainer Eric Albarracin might be something to watch stylistically as a threat to Moreno, but it seems clear which direction both fighters seem to be going at this point after nearly eight full rounds. disputed among themselves.

Brookhouse explains why Moreno will win: There is a real risk that what we saw in the rematch between the two was a combination of a brilliant Moreno night coming on the same night Figueiredo had a particularly poor performance. Still, Moreno looked like a fighter who finally put it all together in this fight and Figueiredo looked lost against a fighter who was confident to do whatever crossed his mind. It was like a real changing of the guard. There is also a bit of a desire to see Moreno win and move on to the next phase of his career, rather than being forced into a fourth fight with Figueiredo. This is probably a closer fight than the rematch, but one in which Moreno can take over as Figueiredo fades a bit as the rounds go by.

Who wins Ngannou against Gane? And what other choices do you need to see for a parlay with a payout greater than 16-1? Visit SportsLine now for detailed top picks on UFC 270, all from the insider who has earned over $10,000 on MMA picks over the past two years, and find out.